Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.112837 0.133738 0.157126 0.185194 0.217917 0.254818 0.299540
2025-01-19 0.077405 0.103319 0.135607 0.178608 0.234172 0.303320 0.395655
2025-01-26 0.060540 0.088800 0.127122 0.182471 0.259874 0.363696 0.512817
2025-02-02 0.049069 0.077939 0.119970 0.184911 0.281834 0.420030 0.630581
2025-02-09 0.040474 0.068974 0.113137 0.185505 0.299765 0.471448 0.746502
2025-02-16 0.034456 0.062560 0.108614 0.188132 0.320084 0.527679 0.875177
2025-02-23 0.030574 0.058793 0.107426 0.195430 0.348073 0.598195 1.033366
2025-03-02 0.025418 0.051731 0.099384 0.189660 0.353128 0.631737 1.134817
2025-03-09 0.022066 0.047328 0.095214 0.189820 0.367972 0.682619 1.270124
2025-03-16 0.018948 0.042764 0.089945 0.187001 0.376749 0.723440 1.391678
2025-03-23 0.017128 0.040503 0.088713 0.191592 0.399655 0.791589 1.568857
2025-03-30 0.014981 0.037128 0.084682 0.189937 0.410075 0.837440 1.709054
2025-04-06 0.012834 0.033390 0.079404 0.185149 0.414041 0.872251 1.833734
2025-04-13 0.010938 0.029870 0.074039 0.179384 0.415254 0.901850 1.951659
2025-04-20 0.009973 0.028451 0.073182 0.183459 0.437895 0.976935 2.168701
2025-04-27 0.009031 0.026895 0.071745 0.185959 0.457307 1.047226 2.382786
2025-05-04 0.008103 0.025187 0.069651 0.186567 0.472438 1.109854 2.586745
2025-05-11 0.007388 0.023925 0.068470 0.189211 0.492583 1.185346 2.825803
2025-05-18 0.006957 0.023399 0.069116 0.196549 0.524817 1.290943 3.141462
2025-05-25 0.006040 0.021212 0.064943 0.190748 0.524045 1.321153 3.289706
2025-06-01 0.005458 0.019946 0.063107 0.190909 0.538265 1.387638 3.527843
2025-06-08 0.004846 0.018442 0.060336 0.188075 0.544361 1.435293 3.726076
2025-06-15 0.004527 0.017866 0.060206 0.192691 0.570719 1.534758 4.057757